Latest official position · 2025

Rare Earth Race · Country Briefing
South Korea refines 16.4% of indium. Rare-earth mine output is unreported.
Korean firms are building rare-earth security through overseas mines and factories. At home, South Korea's clearer strategic-metal strength is indium and bismuth refining.
On this pageTakeaway
South Korea is building influence without waiting for a domestic mine. USGS gives the country no mine-output line, and Seoul says it lacks a complete supply chain. Its answer is to back Korean companies that own, finance or buy from plants abroad while keeping imports from China moving during the buildout. 1 3
The planned network is already specific. POSCO links about 4,500 tonnes a year of future supply in Malaysia and Laos to a proposed US plant that would separate mixed rare earths into individual products, starting at 3,000 tonnes a year. JS Link's planned Malaysian factory would make 3,000 tonnes a year of high-strength magnets using material from Lynas under a supply deal running to 2038. 4 5 7 These figures remain factory targets, not current output. By 2030, South Korea is more likely to be an investor and buyer in a cross-border chain than a self-sufficient producer. Success will be measured by reliable, customer-approved material reaching Korean manufacturers, not by a domestic mining total.
The country in four dates
Its strongest supply position is outside rare-earth mining.
Reported output, current events, company targets and our forecasts are kept in separate boxes. NdPr means neodymium and praseodymium reported together. Dy/Tb means dysprosium and terbium reported together. NdFeB means neodymium-iron-boron, the most common high-strength permanent magnet.
What changed in 2026
Korean firms signed two overseas supply-chain agreements.
Next company targets
Pilot output may begin abroad first.
- Project planAbout 4,500 tonnes a yearplanned raw material linked to Korean firms in Malaysia and Laos4Scale: One and a half times the proposed 3,000-tonne US separation line. The first figure is planned raw material, not factory output.
- Project plan3,000 tonnes a yearproposed first-stage US separation plant5Scale: Half of the proposed 6,000-tonne expanded design. Capacity is not actual output.
- Company targetLate 2027POSCO-ReElement pilot target5
- Company target2028commercial-output target5
2030 view
South Korea builds its supply chain abroad.
- EarthRarest viewCross-border systemcentral role as investor, buyer and manufacturer3
Strategic metals already in the picture
Rare earths are not the whole story.
Data and sourcesProjects first
The strongest Korean positions are refining and overseas deals
Southeast Asia raw-material base
POSCO International and partners · Malaysia and Laos
Company plan published 24 March 2026
About 4,500 tonnes a year of planned supply
Separation and refining products across two countries
POSCO presents the base as raw-material supply for a wider chain. The figure remains forecast capacity until projects disclose operating processing lines and recurring product. 4
POSCO-ReElement US venture
POSCO International and ReElement · United States, site to be finalised
Agreement announced 22 May 2026
Stage-one separation capacity: 3,000 tonnes a year
Separation capacity, expandable to 6,000 tonnes a year
The partners target pilot production in late 2027 and commercial output in 2028. The US$200 million plan is material, although site, feed qualification and construction execution remain open. 5
LS Eco Energy Vietnam plant
LS Eco Energy with proposed Lynas feed · Vietnam
Reported 25 March 2026
Samarium metal in the first stage
No public comparable annual product capacity
LS targeted operations for the fourth quarter of 2026. Definitive supply and cross-investment agreements still needed negotiation, so the schedule is exposed to slippage. 6
JS Link Kuantan magnet plant
JS Link with Lynas investment and feed · Kuantan, Malaysia
Agreement reported 6 July 2026
3,000 tonnes a year of neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets
Maximum planned sintered-magnet output
Lynas will invest about A$50 million and supply material through January 2038. The project has a clearer feed and capital route than many magnet announcements, with trial production still to be demonstrated. 7
Rare Earth Supply Response Center
Korean trade ministry and agencies · South Korea
Established 31 October 2025
Supply monitoring and response
Preparedness tool, not industrial capacity
The centre coordinates the domestic response to rare-earth supply stress. It should be judged by warning speed and company support rather than added to any capacity total. 9
Material by material
What South Korea supplies now, what could change by 2030, and China's share
Each card begins with the finding. The numbers and their limits sit underneath it.
China oxide price guide
Indicative domestic midpoints, 28 August 2026, per kilogram
Strategic metals beyond rare earths
South Korea's other strategic metals
Each card states the type of output and year. The bars compare this country with the market leader at the same step whenever the data allows it. A data gap is not zero.
Antimony: data gap
South Korea is the largest bismuth refiner outside China.
Bismuth: Medicines, lead-free solders, pigments and fusible alloys.
Gallium: data gap
Germanium: data gap
Hafnium: data gap
South Korea is the only indium alternative above 100 tonnes in the 2025 table.
Indium: Touchscreens, displays, solders, solar coatings and semiconductors.
Rhenium: data gap
Tellurium: data gap
The conversion test
Where South Korea actually sits in the chain
A deposit is only the first step. Statuses below describe operating capability at the data cut-off, not announced ambition.
Mine
South Korea has no USGS mine-output line and says it lacks a full chain. Public support is aimed partly at overseas mine development. 1 3
Concentrate
POSCO plans a 4,500-tonne-a-year Southeast Asian supply base across Malaysia and Laos. The company figure concerns future separation and refining product rather than current Korean mine output. 4
Separation
POSCO and ReElement propose a US plant beginning at 3,000 tonnes a year. LS Eco Energy plans a separate Vietnam route supplied by Lynas. 5 6
Metals and alloys
LS plans metallised products in Vietnam, initially samarium. POSCO also invested in a domestic specialist claiming oxide-to-metal capability. 6 4
Permanent magnets
Korean magnet production exists and JS Link is adding a 3,000-tonne-a-year Malaysian plant backed by Lynas. The IEA identifies Korea in the diversified pipeline of processing and factory projects. 7 2
The numbers
The mine-output number in context
USGS 2025 estimates cover total rare earth oxide equivalent. The chart does not measure refining or magnet output.
Leading mine producers
World share and tonnes, 2025 estimateKorea's trade ministry plans a hotline and joint committee with Chinese authorities to speed critical-mineral imports during disruptions. 3 At the same time, Seoul joined the US-led Forum on Resource Geostrategic Engagement (FORGE) partnership and was selected to chair it through June 2026. The two tracks recognise a timing problem: diplomacy can protect this year's production while new plants chase the next decade.
Seoul plans to monitor 17 critical minerals more closely. It also allocated 250 billion won, about US$172 million at the reported exchange rate, to help Korean companies develop overseas mines. 3 That support shows the government is acting directly, although the wider mineral envelope should not be relabelled as rare-earth project finance.
The diversification list names the United States and Vietnam, with Laos appearing alongside them. 3 Those choices already match the emerging corporate map unusually well. A government response centre created in late 2025 gives firms a place to report supply stress, but its value will show up in response times rather than plant capacity. 9
Korea is keeping Chinese supply moving while its companies build slower alternatives around it.
What the numbers say
POSCO International says its Malaysia and Laos projects could secure about 4,500 tonnes of rare-earth separation and refining products each year. 4 The company wants to expand the base beyond 10,000 tonnes later. Both remain plans without a reported current domestic mine total behind them.
The group is also investing through a Korean corporate venture-capital fund. Its first rare-earth target received 8 billion won through that vehicle. The investee claims the ability to make heavy oxides at 99.5% purity. 4 A purity claim shows the intended product, although recurring output accepted by independent customers still needs to be demonstrated.
POSCO and ReElement announced a US$200 million US venture in May 2026. Stage one targets 3,000 tonnes of annual separation capacity. 5 The design can later double, with pilot output targeted for the fourth quarter of 2027 before commercial production in 2028. POSCO would control the venture while ReElement supplies its separation process.
Lynas and LS Eco Energy signed a preliminary arrangement for Australian or Malaysian oxides to feed a planned Vietnam plant. The first stage focuses on samarium, with operations targeted for the fourth quarter of 2026. 6 Preliminary is the controlling word because definitive supply and investment agreements were still to be negotiated.
Each company proposed buying about A$30 million of the other's convertible instruments. 6 The cross-investment would align feed and processing economics, but it had not closed at the Reuters report date. Before LS can use it as a dependable bridge to US magnet customers, the Vietnam plant must still produce metal accepted by customers.
At the later factory stage, the JS Link agreement is more specific. Its Kuantan plant is designed for 3,000 tonnes a year of sintered NdFeB magnets. 7 Lynas will invest about A$50 million and supply both Malaysian and Korean JS Link facilities through January 2038. A long feed term reduces one risk; construction and customer approval remain.
POSCO's supply base sits in Malaysia and Laos, while its largest separation proposal sits in the United States. LS is using Vietnam, and JS Link is expanding in Malaysia. 4 5 6 7 Adding those announced capacities as Korean production would erase local permitting and count corporate plans before they operate.
Domestic demand provides the commercial pull, and POSCO describes STAR Group as Korea's only rare-earth permanent-magnet producer. The company has also reported long automaker orders into North America and Europe. 8 Treat the exclusivity and order values as company claims, but the customer geography explains why a distributed chain can still serve Korean industrial policy.
The IEA expects announced non-Chinese later processing and factory capacity to remain well below projected demand in 2035. 2 Korea is trying to claim part of that scarce capacity through ownership and long supply arrangements. The honest 2030 scorecard should count tonnes accepted by customers and delivered through Korean-controlled chains, then show country of production in a separate field.
Korea's strategy succeeds when motors receive customer-approved magnets on time, even if the ore and processing never cross a Korean port.
What the numbers say
Government help
How the government is helping projects get built in South Korea
Loans, grants, guaranteed buyers and minimum prices can help a project get built. A promise counts only when the money or contract is committed.
| Measure | What it does | Who receives it | Will it move the project? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare-earth supply strategy | Foreign investment, purchase agreement and domestic preparednessKorean policy supports company-led upstream and downstream diversification. | POSCO, LS Eco Energy, JS Link and major industrial users. | A portfolio rather than one national mineThe strategy succeeds only when foreign projects produce qualified material. 3 |
| Rare Earth Supply Response Center | Monitoring and company coordinationThe mechanism was established in October 2025 to react to supply stress. | Domestic manufacturers exposed to import disruption. | Preparedness is not capacityJudge it by warning speed and continuity support, not tonnes. 9 |
| POSCO-ReElement venture | US$200 million planned separation buildStage one targets 3,000 tonnes a year and commercial output in 2028. | A Korean-controlled US separation route. | Capital is material; execution remains openSite, feed, construction and qualification still need to close. 5 |
| Lynas-linked feed and investment | Long-term private supply chainJS Link has a clearer feed and equity route than many announced magnet plants. | The planned Malaysian factory serving Korean and allied customers. | No public Korean price floorContract details should not be presented as a national oxide guarantee. 7 |
EarthRarest forecast
What to watch through 2030
These are dated editorial predictions, not company guidance or investment advice. Each includes the evidence that would force a rethink.
By 31 March 2027
LS Eco Energy misses its first Vietnam deadline.
LS Eco Energy misses sustained commercial Vietnam output in its original fourth-quarter 2026 window. The March arrangement was preliminary and still required definitive feed and cross-investment agreements. No comparable annual product capacity was disclosed. 6
What would change this view
Revise if LS publishes verified recurring samarium or other rare-earth metal output from Vietnam for the fourth quarter of 2026.
At 31 December 2028
POSCO-ReElement starts pilots, but misses its 3,000-tonne design rate.
POSCO-ReElement has produced pilot material, while sustained commercial output remains below the stage-one design capacity of 3,000 tonnes a year. The partners target a late-2027 pilot and commercial production in 2028 from a site and feed plan that were still being developed in May 2026. 5
What would change this view
Revise if the venture reports a full year at or above 3,000 tonnes of customer-approved separated product by the end of 2028, or if the project is cancelled before pilot output.
At 31 December 2030
South Korea builds abroad rather than mining at home.
South Korea remains a buyer and builder of foreign supply, not a self-sufficient producer. Every major new mine or separation project in the current plan sits outside Korea. Domestic value comes from capital, process links and end customers, while Seoul maintains Chinese import channels during the transition. 3 4 5
What would change this view
Revise if South Korea develops a material domestic mine and full separation route before 2031, or if its foreign project network fails to deliver products accepted by customers.
Method and evidence
What the numbers mean
Country role
Capacity treatment
Geographic accounting
Sources used for this briefing
- Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Rare Earths, U.S. Geological Survey, 6 February 2026, version 1.3 May 2026. World mine and reserve table.
- Rare Earth Elements: Pathways to secure and diversified supply chains, International Energy Agency, 8 April 2026. Korean downstream role and diversified capacity outlook.
- South Korea seeks critical minerals ties with China after joining US trade bloc, Reuters, 5 February 2026. Full-chain gap, China cooperation, overseas-mine support and diversification partners.
- POSCO INTERNATIONAL Develops Rare Earth Supply Chain to Complete Full Value Chain, POSCO Group Newsroom, 24 March 2026. Southeast Asian plans, Korean investment and company capacity targets.
- POSCO International to build integrated US rare-earth and permanent-magnet production complex, POSCO Group Newsroom, 22 May 2026. Investment, stage capacities and schedule. Korean-language source.
- Australia's Lynas agrees potential rare earths deal with South Korea's LS Eco Energy, Reuters, 25 March 2026, updated 26 March 2026. Preliminary Vietnam processing and cross-investment plan.
- Australia's Lynas, South Korea's JS Link sign deal for Malaysia magnet factory, Reuters, 6 July 2026, published 7 July in Asia. Magnet design capacity, Lynas investment and supply term.
- POSCO International Establishes China-Excluded Supply Chain for Rare Earth Magnets, POSCO Group Newsroom, 18 March 2024. Domestic magnet-maker and long-term order claims.
- Korea to Strengthen Supply Chain Stability for Rare Earth Elements and Critical Minerals, Korea Ministry of Trade, Industry and Resources, 31 October 2025. Interministerial task force and Rare Earth Supply Response Center.
- Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Indium, U.S. Geological Survey. South Korean and world refinery estimates for 2025.
- Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Bismuth, U.S. Geological Survey. South Korean and world refinery estimates for 2025.
- SMM Rare Earth Oxides, assessed 28 August 2026. Domestic-China oxide midpoint indications used in the material price board.
- International Energy Agency, Rare Earth Elements. China shares in 2024: 91% of combined Nd, Pr, Dy and Tb refining and 94% of sintered permanent magnets. These are group shares, not an individual share for each element.
Keep following the supply chain
Where South Korea connects to the wider race
These links follow raw material, processing, buyers and policy. They are not an alphabetical reading list.
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